#note/sourcereview/article | #note/sourcereview/book ## What is the thesis? Over the long-term, two things matter, the things you cannot predict ([[risk is what is left after everything you have thought of]]) and the way things always are. Most of human behavior stays "the way things always are" in the "Same as Ever" column. ## Am I convinced and why? ## Summarize the argument ### Book Chapters: 1. Hanging by a thread 2. Risk is what you don't see 3. Expectations and reality: The first rule of happiness is low expectations 4. Wild Minds: People who think about the world in unique ways do things you won't like 5. Wild Numbers: People don't want accuracy. They want certainty (See chapter 2) 6. Best Story Wins: Stories are always more powerful than statistics 7. Does Note Compute: The World is driven by forces that cannot easily be measured 8. Calm plants the seeds of crazy: Crazy is normal 9. Too much, Too Soon, Too Fast: A good idea on steroids becomes a terrible idea 10. When the Magic Happens: Stress focuses your attention in ways the good times can't 11. Overnight Tragedies and Long Term Miracles 12. Tiny and Magnificent: law of compounding 13. Elation and Despair: Progress requires optimism and pessimism to coexist 14. ## What is the other side of the argument? ## What else do I wonder about? ## Action ## When do I want to stumble across this? ## Source: Housel, M. (2023). Same as ever: A guide to what never changes. Portfolio/Penguin. ## References, Quotes, Ideas ```dataview table file.mtime.year + "-" + file.mtime.month + "-" + file.mtime.day as Modified from [[Same as Ever]] and !outgoing([[Same as Ever]]) sort file.mtime desc ``` ![[Same]]