topic: [[Doing]] people: #people/reubenstrayer created: 2025-02-09 *If you were going to be wrong with a decisions, which mistake would you rather make?* ##### what is it? This approach comes from the mind of Reuben Strayer and applies to decision making includes the idea that you will be wrong sometimes, which way do you want to be wrong? What is the preferred error? ##### why does it matter? [[black swan events]] tell us that [[Things that have never happened before happen all the time]], so if you are going to be wrong you should protect you and your patients. ##### This reminds me of When approaching a moment with [[epistemic humility]], you have to assume there are risks, [[risk is what is left after everything you have thought of]], so if you're going to be wrong, which version of wrong is better? ##### What would the opposite argument be? The unfortunate possible outcome here is purely risk averse and trying to "rule out everything" with every situation. Would you get on a plane if you applied this to flying? tags: #note/idea | #on/decisions | #on/action ##### Sources: _Helman, A. Weingart, S. Betzner, M. Strayer, R. How EM Experts Think Part 2: Data Gathering, Diagnostic and Treatment Decision Making, Test Ordering and Interpretation, Documentation, Emotional Resilience. Emergency Medicine Cases. January, 2025. https://emergencymedicinecases.com/how-em-experts-think-part-2_. _Accessed_ _March 8, 2025_